Ground game
49 DThin offensive ground game. Wins come standing; once taken down this fighter is hunting a stand-up, not a sweep chain.
- 1.68 takedowns / 15 at 40% accuracy
- 0.56 submission attempts / 15 · 11 career sub wins
Lightweight
21-7-1
SLpM
4.10
SApM
3.10
Str Acc
57%
Str Def
51%
TD Avg
1.68
TD Acc
40%
TD Def
14%
Sub Avg
0.56
Pocket striker — suspect hips against the shot
Fight IQ
Built from FightMetric rates, method shares, and 6 loaded UFC rows. Timing and agility are tape proxies, not lab measurements.
IQ
Ground
Defense
Counter
Reaction
proxy
Agility
proxy
TD react
Chin
Durability
Standard UFC durability. Can be hurt, usually recovers if the shot is not clean.
Takedown reaction
A takedown magnet. Low TD defense plus submission losses — this is the hole a grappler builds a camp around.
Timing & reaction
Late on the read. High absorb or a leaking TD defense suggests the first move often belongs to the opponent.
Ground game
Thin offensive ground game. Wins come standing; once taken down this fighter is hunting a stand-up, not a sweep chain.
Renato Moicano is a 37-year-old Orthodox lightweight out of Brazil, camped at American Top Team. The tape read: pocket striker — suspect hips against the shot. Career mark 21-7-1 — 1 by KO/TKO, 11 by submission, 9 by decision. Fight IQ grades C (60).
What works. Durability is the standout at 74 (B). Standard UFC durability. Can be hurt, usually recovers if the shot is not clean. Ground game D on 1.68 TD/15 and 0.56 sub attempts. Striking defense C at 51% / 3.10 SApM. Counter punching C; punching agility C+ (output × accuracy × age curve). Takedown reaction D on 14% TD defense. These are tape proxies — not lab reaction times — built from FightMetric rates, finish shares, and 6 loaded UFC rows.
Where it breaks. Takedown reaction is the soft spot (21, D). A takedown magnet. Low TD defense plus submission losses — this is the hole a grappler builds a camp around. Opponents who force wrestling and keep the fight on the fence have historically been the ones who make this résumé leak. Losses lean decision more often than a highlight — the issue is usually control of minutes, not a glass jaw.
Recent tape (6 bouts): W 4867356 (Submission R2) · L Dariush (Decision - Unanimous R3) · L Makhachev (Submission R1) · W 4895362 (TKO - Doctor's Stoppage R2) · W 4339490 (KO/TKO R2). Form index positive over the last 5. 1 of those wins reached the championship minutes — cardio and late IQ are real.
Thin offensive ground game. Wins come standing; once taken down this fighter is hunting a stand-up, not a sweep chain.
Eats more than a championship pocket should. High SApM or a porous guard will get taxed against power.
Limited counter threat. Opponents can miss without paying a finishing tax.
Late on the read. High absorb or a leaking TD defense suggests the first move often belongs to the opponent.
Heavy or economical. Combinations are chosen, not sprayed — opponents can time the entries.
A takedown magnet. Low TD defense plus submission losses — this is the hole a grappler builds a camp around.
Standard UFC durability. Can be hurt, usually recovers if the shot is not clean.
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UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2vs Brian Ortega · model 66%
| Date | Opponent | Res | Method | Rnd | Sig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Fighter 4867356 | W | Submission | 2 3:14 | 21/36 |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Beneil Dariush | L | Decision - Unanimous | 3 5:00 | 31/61 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Islam Makhachev | L | Submission | 1 4:05 | 9/27 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Fighter 4895362 | W | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | 2 5:00 | 50/72 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Fighter 4339490 | W | KO/TKO | 2 4:11 | 36/67 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Fighter 2951202 | W | Decision - Unanimous | 3 5:00 | 23/42 |