OctagonEdge

Light Heavyweight

Lucas Fernando

14-3

Age
29
Height
6'3"
Reach
6'9"
Stance
Orthodox
Camp
Rizzo RVT
Out of
Brazil
Style
hybrid
Fight IQ
C+ · 67
Finish rate
14%
Win rate
82%

Career methods

KO/TKO
0
Sub
2
Dec
12

FightMetric

SLpM

1.87

SApM

3.95

Str Acc

55%

Str Def

64%

TD Avg

3.00

TD Acc

30%

TD Def

73%

Sub Avg

1.00

Tape read

Hybrid who can change levels

Fight IQ

67C+

Thin sample — 0 loaded UFC rows, 17 career fights for Lucas Fernando. Reaction and agility are wider intervals.

IQ

C+

Ground

C

Defense

C+

Counter

D

Reaction

proxy

C+

Agility

proxy

D

TD react

C+

Chin

A

What they do well

  • Durability

    Gets through fire. Rarely finished by strikes; the later minutes are still theirs to win.

Where they leak

  • Counter punching

    Limited counter threat. Opponents can miss without paying a finishing tax.

  • Punching agility

    Heavy or economical. Combinations are chosen, not sprayed — opponents can time the entries.

Scouting report

Lucas Fernando is a 29-year-old Orthodox light heavyweight out of Brazil, camped at Rizzo RVT. The tape read: hybrid who can change levels. Career mark 14-3-0 — 0 by KO/TKO, 2 by submission, 12 by decision. Fight IQ grades C+ (67).

What works. Durability is the standout at 85 (A). Gets through fire. Rarely finished by strikes; the later minutes are still theirs to win. Ground game C on 3.00 TD/15 and 1.00 sub attempts. Striking defense C+ at 64% / 3.95 SApM. Counter punching D; punching agility D (output × accuracy × age curve). Takedown reaction C+ on 73% TD defense. These are tape proxies — not lab reaction times — built from FightMetric rates, finish shares, and 0 loaded UFC rows.

Where it breaks. Counter punching is the soft spot (43, D). Limited counter threat. Opponents can miss without paying a finishing tax. Opponents who out-speed the first exchange and never stay on the centerline have historically been the ones who make this résumé leak. Losses lean decision more often than a highlight — the issue is usually control of minutes, not a glass jaw.

The book has no per-fight UFC rows for Fernando yet. This scouting card is carried by career FightMetric rates and the win-method split — treat the reaction and agility marks as wider intervals.

Ground game

58 C

Ground work is situational, not a finishing engine. Expect clinch entries more than a mat cycle.

  • 3.00 takedowns / 15 at 30% accuracy
  • 1.00 submission attempts / 15 · 2 career sub wins

Striking defense

61 C+

Eats more than a championship pocket should. High SApM or a porous guard will get taxed against power.

  • 64% striking defense · 3.95 SApM
  • 0 KO/TKO losses in 3 defeats

Counter punching

43 D

Limited counter threat. Opponents can miss without paying a finishing tax.

  • 55% accuracy on 1.87 SLpM
  • 0.16 knockdowns / 15 · 0 KO/TKO wins

Timing & reaction

61 C+

Late on the read. High absorb or a leaking TD defense suggests the first move often belongs to the opponent.

  • Str def 64% · TD def 73% — the two read-and-react rates
  • 3.95 shots absorbed / min (lower = sees it earlier)

Punching agility

43 D

Heavy or economical. Combinations are chosen, not sprayed — opponents can time the entries.

  • 1.87 SLpM at 55% — output with cleanliness
  • Throws without paying full retail: 3.95 SApM

Takedown reaction

65 C+

Hips arrive late. A committed wrestler will get them down; the question is what happens next.

  • 73% takedown defense — the live reaction to level changes
  • 0 submission losses (once the fight hits the mat)

Durability

85 A

Gets through fire. Rarely finished by strikes; the later minutes are still theirs to win.

  • 0 times finished by strikes in 3 losses
  • 12 decision wins — proof they last and still score

Fight history

DateOpponentResMethodRndSig
No UFC tape loaded for this fighter yet.