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UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · Women's Bantamweight · 3 rounds

Opening locked Oct 3, 2026 · Priscila Cachoeira 79% · Decision · Distance · waiting on the result

Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milošević

Priscila Cachoeira
BrazilBrazil

Priscila Cachoeira

“Zombie Girl”

Unranked · 13-9 · striker · Orthodox · 37 · IQ D 42

MMA Masters · Brazil

VS
Nina Milošević
SerbiaSerbia

Nina Milošević

“Queen Beast”

Unranked · 9-1 · hybrid · Orthodox · 30 · IQ B 70

Family Fight Team · Serbia

Priscila Cachoeira

79.0%

Nina Milošević

21.0%

Model win probability · confidence 75%

No market posted yet.

Why the model leans this way

Cachoeira 79 — the tape favors pocket striker

Priscila Cachoeira is the model side at 79.0% because the largest live edges sit where this fight is likely to be fought. striker meets hybrid. Fight IQ is the clearest separator: Milošević 70 (B) vs Cachoeira 42 (D). Problem-solving and win-lane diversity sit with Milošević (B vs D).

  1. 01

    Fight IQ

    Milošević

    Milošević 70 (B) vs Cachoeira 42 (D). Problem-solving and win-lane diversity sit with Milošević (B vs D).

  2. 02

    Takedown reaction

    Milošević

    Milošević 69 (B) vs Cachoeira 55 (C). When the shot comes, Milošević stuffs it at 85% — Cachoeira is at 84%.

  3. 03

    Punching agility

    Cachoeira

    Cachoeira 51 (C) vs Milošević 40 (D). Hand speed / output lean Cachoeira (4.4 SLpM at 45%).

  4. 04

    Striking defense

    Cachoeira

    Cachoeira 66 (C+) vs Milošević 57 (C). Cachoeira absorbs 3.05/min at 59% defense; Milošević is a softer target at 4.60 SApM.

Path · Cachoeira

Volume. Cachoeira wins ugly minutes at range, clutter the center, and never give Milošević a clean reset.

Path · Milošević

Milošević wins by forcing the fight into durability and denying Cachoeira a long look at durability.

This is a firm lean, not a lock. The upset script is Milošević attacking ground game with durability.

Full read

Style and location. The fight should spend most of its minutes at range. Cachoeira is built as: Pocket striker — suspect hips against the shot. Milošević is built as: Hybrid who can change levels. Fight IQ delta is -29 toward Milošević — that is composure, win-lane diversity, and whether they solve a second problem when the first look dies.

The edges that move the number. Fight IQ: Milošević 70 (B) vs Cachoeira 42 (D). Problem-solving and win-lane diversity sit with Milošević (B vs D). Takedown reaction: Milošević 69 (B) vs Cachoeira 55 (C). When the shot comes, Milošević stuffs it at 85% — Cachoeira is at 84%. Punching agility: Cachoeira 51 (C) vs Milošević 40 (D). Hand speed / output lean Cachoeira (4.4 SLpM at 45%).

The clock is live — decision is the modal ending (59%). Minutes and control matter more than a single shot. This is a firm lean, not a lock. The upset script is Milošević attacking ground game with durability. These trait marks are derived from FightMetric rates, career method shares, and loaded bout rows — reaction time and agility are proxies, not stopwatch numbers. The model folds the same scores into win probability, so a hole on this card is a hole in the percentage.

Style & IQ board

Fight IQ, ground game, defense, counter punching, reaction, agility, and takedown reaction — scored from tape and folded into the win number above.

CachoeiraTraitMilošević
42 D
IQ
70 B
21 D
Ground
16 D
66 C+
Defense
57 C
42 D
Counter
39 D
63 C+
Reaction
61 C+
51 C
Agility
40 D
55 C
TD react
69 B
85 A
Chin
85 A

Method of victory

KO / TKO
32%
Submission
9%
Decision
59%

The fight should spend most of its minutes at range.

Duration

R1

18%

R2

11%

R3

12%

Dist

59%

Most likely: Distance. Expected 11.6 minutes.

Style matchup

striker meets hybrid.

  • Striking differential

    1.38 vs -4.60 SLpM−SApM (recency / opp. adjusted)

    Cachoeira

  • Damage ratio

    1.45 vs 0.00 landed/absorbed

    Cachoeira

  • Striking efficiency

    45% vs 0%

    Cachoeira

  • Fight IQ

    D 42 vs B 70 — composure, win-lane diversity, adjustments

    Milošević

  • Output (SLpM)

    4.43 vs 0.00

    Cachoeira

  • Striking defense

    59% vs 68%

    Milošević

  • Takedown reaction

    84% vs 85% hips on the shot

    Milošević

  • Recency form

    Opp.-adjusted last 0/0 UFC rows

    Milošević

  • Pocket defense (tape)

    C+ vs C

    Cachoeira

  • Punching agility

    Output × accuracy × age curve

    Cachoeira

  • Age-adjusted curve

    37 vs 30

    Milošević

  • Ground game (tape)

    21 vs 16

    Cachoeira

  • Reach / length

    65.0" vs 67.0"

    Milošević

  • Cardio proxy

    Output sustainability + distance rate

    Cachoeira

  • Counter punching

    42 vs 39

    Cachoeira

  • Timing & reaction

    Defense + absorb + knockdown timing proxy

    Cachoeira

  • Grappling composite

    TD avg × acc × def + control + submission threat (adj.)

    Cachoeira

  • Takedown mismatch

    TD def 84% vs 85%

    Milošević

  • Strength of schedule

    Opp. quality 50 vs 50

    Cachoeira

  • Style interaction

    striker meets hybrid.

    Cachoeira

  • Layoff / rust

    Time since last fight

    Cachoeira

  • Championship / 5-round

    Three-round fight

    Cachoeira

  • Durability

    0 vs 0 KO losses

    Cachoeira

Tape

CachoeiraMetricMilošević
4.43SLpM0.00
3.05SApM4.60
45%Str Acc0%
59%Str Def68%
0.25TD Avg0.00
40%TD Acc0%
84%TD Def85%
0.00Sub Avg0.00
0.51KD/150.28
5'5"Reach5'7"
37Age30

Priscila Cachoeira

No recent UFC tape in the book.

Nina Milošević

No recent UFC tape in the book.

Your pick

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