UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Women's Bantamweight · 3 rounds

Opening locked Aug 19, 2026 · Klaudia Syguła 80% · Decision · Distance · waiting on the result

Nora Cornolle vs Klaudia Syguła

Nora Cornolle
FranceFrance

Nora Cornolle

Unranked · 9-4 · striker · Orthodox · 36 · IQ C+ 63

US Metro Bizot · France

VS
Klaudia Syguła
PolandPoland

Klaudia Syguła

Unranked · 8-2 · striker · Orthodox · 27 · IQ C 55

Ankos MMA · Poland

Nora Cornolle

19.7%

Klaudia Syguła

80.3%

Model win probability · confidence 86%

No market posted yet.

Why the model leans this way

Syguła 80 — the tape favors volume pressure striker

Klaudia Syguła is the model side at 80.3% because the largest live edges sit where this fight is likely to be fought. Striker vs striker. The pocket and the counter become the whole fight. Counter punching is the clearest separator: Cornolle 56 (C) vs Syguła 27 (D). Cornolle's return is the live one (0.22 KD/15, 1 KOs) against Syguła's entries.

  1. 01

    Counter punching

    Cornolle

    Cornolle 56 (C) vs Syguła 27 (D). Cornolle's return is the live one (0.22 KD/15, 1 KOs) against Syguła's entries.

  2. 02

    Punching agility

    Syguła

    Syguła 72 (B) vs Cornolle 51 (C). Hand speed / output lean Syguła (7.3 SLpM at 53%).

  3. 03

    Striking defense

    Syguła

    Syguła 73 (B) vs Cornolle 62 (C+). Syguła absorbs 2.06/min at 54% defense; Cornolle is a softer target at 3.64 SApM.

  4. 04

    Durability

    Syguła

    Syguła 91 (A+) vs Cornolle 81 (B+). Syguła has been finished by strikes 0 times; Cornolle 0.

Path · Cornolle

Cornolle wins by forcing the fight into durability and denying Syguła a long look at durability.

Path · Syguła

Volume. Syguła wins ugly minutes at range, clutter the center, and never give Cornolle a clean reset.

This is a firm lean, not a lock. The upset script is Cornolle attacking ground game with durability.

Full read

Style and location. Almost exclusively standing. Power and volume decide it. Syguła is built as: Volume pressure striker — suspect hips against the shot. Cornolle is built as: Pocket striker. Fight IQ delta is -9 toward Cornolle — that is composure, win-lane diversity, and whether they solve a second problem when the first look dies.

The edges that move the number. Counter punching: Cornolle 56 (C) vs Syguła 27 (D). Cornolle's return is the live one (0.22 KD/15, 1 KOs) against Syguła's entries. Punching agility: Syguła 72 (B) vs Cornolle 51 (C). Hand speed / output lean Syguła (7.3 SLpM at 53%). Striking defense: Syguła 73 (B) vs Cornolle 62 (C+). Syguła absorbs 2.06/min at 54% defense; Cornolle is a softer target at 3.64 SApM.

The clock is live — decision is the modal ending (59%). Minutes and control matter more than a single shot. This is a firm lean, not a lock. The upset script is Cornolle attacking ground game with durability. These trait marks are derived from FightMetric rates, career method shares, and loaded bout rows — reaction time and agility are proxies, not stopwatch numbers. The model folds the same scores into win probability, so a hole on this card is a hole in the percentage.

Style & IQ board

Fight IQ, ground game, defense, counter punching, reaction, agility, and takedown reaction — scored from tape and folded into the win number above.

CornolleTraitSyguła
63 C+
IQ
55 C
20 D
Ground
17 D
62 C+
Defense
73 B
56 C
Counter
27 D
60 C+
Reaction
64 C+
51 C
Agility
72 B
57 C
TD react
55 C
81 B+
Chin
91 A+

Method of victory

KO / TKO
26%
Submission
15%
Decision
59%

Almost exclusively standing. Power and volume decide it.

Duration

R1

17%

R2

11%

R3

12%

Dist

59%

Most likely: Distance. Expected 11.7 minutes.

Style matchup

Striker vs striker. The pocket and the counter become the whole fight.

  • Striking differential

    -1.17 vs 3.90 SLpM−SApM (recency / opp. adjusted)

    Syguła
  • Damage ratio

    0.69 vs 3.03 landed/absorbed

    Syguła
  • Output (SLpM)

    2.55 vs 5.83

    Syguła
  • Recency form

    Opp.-adjusted last 6/6 UFC rows

    Syguła
  • Counter punching

    56 vs 27

    Cornolle
  • Fight IQ

    C+ 63 vs C 55 — composure, win-lane diversity, adjustments

    Cornolle
  • Punching agility

    Output × accuracy × age curve

    Syguła
  • Striking defense

    62% vs 55%

    Cornolle
  • Striking efficiency

    58% vs 49%

    Cornolle
  • Pocket defense (tape)

    C+ vs B

    Syguła
  • Durability

    0 vs 0 KO losses

    Syguła
  • Age-adjusted curve

    36 vs 27

    Syguła
  • Reach / length

    67.0" vs 69.0"

    Syguła
  • Ground game (tape)

    20 vs 17

    Cornolle
  • Cardio proxy

    Output sustainability + distance rate

    Syguła
  • Timing & reaction

    Defense + absorb + knockdown timing proxy

    Syguła
  • Takedown reaction

    84% vs 83% hips on the shot

    Cornolle
  • Grappling composite

    TD avg × acc × def + control + submission threat (adj.)

    Cornolle
  • Strength of schedule

    Opp. quality 54 vs 53

    Cornolle
  • Takedown mismatch

    TD def 83% vs 85%

    Cornolle
  • Style interaction

    Striker vs striker. The pocket and the counter become the whole fight.

    Cornolle
  • Layoff / rust

    Time since last fight

    Cornolle
  • Championship / 5-round

    Three-round fight

    Cornolle

Tape

CornolleMetricSyguła
2.73SLpM7.27
3.64SApM2.06
64%Str Acc53%
63%Str Def54%
0.22TD Avg0.41
11%TD Acc13%
84%TD Def83%
0.22Sub Avg0.00
0.22KD/150.10
5'7"Reach5'9"
36Age27

Nora Cornolle

L

Fighter 4397782

Submission · R2 2:44

Feb 21, 2026
L

Fighter 4292349

Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00

Aug 3, 2025
W

Fighter 4374742

Submission · R2 1:52

Apr 12, 2025
L

Fighter 4916251

Decision - Split · R3 5:00

Sep 28, 2024
W

Fighter 5127984

KO/TKO · R2 3:06

Apr 6, 2024
W

Fighter 4397782

Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00

Sep 2, 2023

Klaudia Syguła

W

Fighter 4277049

Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00

Feb 7, 2026
W

Fighter 4711407

Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00

Jun 21, 2025
L

Fighter 5127984

KO/TKO · R2 1:20

Nov 9, 2024
W

Fighter 4426284

KO/TKO · R2 -

Sep 16, 2023
W

Fighter 5242283

KO/TKO · R1 1:48

Dec 16, 2022
W

Fighter 5242284

Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00

Jul 29, 2022

Your pick

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