Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira

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Style and location. Almost exclusively standing. Power and volume decide it. Shahbazyan is built as: Power striker — suspect hips against the shot, porous pocket. Ferreira is built as: Power striker — suspect hips against the shot, porous pocket. Fight IQ delta is -7 toward Ferreira — that is composure, win-lane diversity, and whether they solve a second problem when the first look dies.

The edges that move the number. Timing & reaction: Ferreira 49 (D) vs Shahbazyan 32 (D). The reaction proxy — defense plus absorb plus knockdown timing — sits with Ferreira. Striking defense: Ferreira 54 (C) vs Shahbazyan 39 (D). Ferreira absorbs 3.33/min at 54% defense; Shahbazyan is a softer target at 4.20 SApM. Takedown reaction: Ferreira 46 (D) vs Shahbazyan 38 (D). When the shot comes, Ferreira stuffs it at 67% — Shahbazyan is at 60%.

The finish path leans strikes (49% KO/TKO vs 14% submission). One clean read in the pocket can flip a close card. A one-score fight on the model. Any three-minute pocket explosion or a stuck takedown against the grain wipes a lot of this number. These trait marks are derived from FightMetric rates, career method shares, and loaded bout rows — reaction time and agility are proxies, not stopwatch numbers. The model folds the same scores into win probability, so a hole on this card is a hole in the percentage.