David Martinez vs Dan Ige

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Style and location. Almost exclusively standing. Power and volume decide it. Martinez is built as: Pocket striker — elite sprawl. Ige is built as: Pocket striker — suspect hips against the shot, porous pocket. Fight IQ delta is +9 toward Martinez — that is composure, win-lane diversity, and whether they solve a second problem when the first look dies.

The edges that move the number. Takedown reaction: Martinez 80 (B+) vs Ige 35 (D). When the shot comes, Martinez stuffs it at 100% — Ige is at 50%. Timing & reaction: Martinez 78 (B+) vs Ige 34 (D). The reaction proxy — defense plus absorb plus knockdown timing — sits with Martinez. Striking defense: Martinez 78 (B+) vs Ige 48 (D). Martinez absorbs 3.03/min at 70% defense; Ige is a softer target at 3.53 SApM.

The clock is live — decision is the modal ending (56%). Minutes and control matter more than a single shot. This is a firm lean, not a lock. The upset script is Ige attacking ground game with their best weapon. These trait marks are derived from FightMetric rates, career method shares, and loaded bout rows — reaction time and agility are proxies, not stopwatch numbers. The model folds the same scores into win probability, so a hole on this card is a hole in the percentage.