Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso

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Style and location. Almost exclusively standing. Power and volume decide it. Fiorot is built as: Volume pressure striker. Grasso is built as: Pocket striker — suspect hips against the shot, porous pocket. Fight IQ delta is +14 toward Fiorot — that is composure, win-lane diversity, and whether they solve a second problem when the first look dies.

The edges that move the number. Takedown reaction: Fiorot 73 (B) vs Grasso 24 (D). When the shot comes, Fiorot stuffs it at 87% — Grasso is at 36%. Timing & reaction: Fiorot 60 (C) vs Grasso 40 (D). The reaction proxy — defense plus absorb plus knockdown timing — sits with Fiorot. Striking defense: Fiorot 68 (C+) vs Grasso 53 (C). Fiorot absorbs 3.78/min at 64% defense; Grasso is a softer target at 3.03 SApM.

The clock is live — decision is the modal ending (54%). Minutes and control matter more than a single shot. This is a firm lean, not a lock. The upset script is Grasso attacking ground game with durability. These trait marks are derived from FightMetric rates, career method shares, and loaded bout rows — reaction time and agility are proxies, not stopwatch numbers. The model folds the same scores into win probability, so a hole on this card is a hole in the percentage.