Shanelle Dyer vs Elise Reed

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Style and location. Almost exclusively standing. Power and volume decide it. Dyer is built as: Volume pressure striker. Reed is built as: Pocket striker — suspect hips against the shot, porous pocket. Fight IQ delta is +17 toward Dyer — that is composure, win-lane diversity, and whether they solve a second problem when the first look dies.

The edges that move the number. Takedown reaction: Dyer 68 (C+) vs Reed 14 (D). When the shot comes, Dyer stuffs it at 82% — Reed is at 0%. Timing & reaction: Dyer 66 (C+) vs Reed 35 (D). The reaction proxy — defense plus absorb plus knockdown timing — sits with Dyer. Striking defense: Dyer 73 (B) vs Reed 49 (D). Dyer absorbs 1.90/min at 53% defense; Reed is a softer target at 2.80 SApM.

The clock is live — decision is the modal ending (50%). Minutes and control matter more than a single shot. This is a firm lean, not a lock. The upset script is Reed attacking ground game with durability. These trait marks are derived from FightMetric rates, career method shares, and loaded bout rows — reaction time and agility are proxies, not stopwatch numbers. The model folds the same scores into win probability, so a hole on this card is a hole in the percentage.