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UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Welterweight · 3 rounds

Opening locked Aug 19, 2026 · Eric Nolan 62% · Decision · Distance · scored miss (Farman Hasanov / Decision - Unanimous)

Farman Hasanov vs Eric Nolan

Farman Hasanov
AzerbaijanAzerbaijan

Farman Hasanov

Unranked · 6-0 · hybrid · Orthodox · 31 · IQ C+ 68

American Top Team · Azerbaijan

VS
Eric Nolan
USAUSA

Eric Nolan

“Nightime”

Unranked · 8-5 · hybrid · Orthodox · 28 · IQ C 51

Lionheart MMA · USA

Farman Hasanov

38.1%

Eric Nolan

61.9%

Model win probability · confidence 56%

No market posted yet.

Why the model leans this way

Nolan 62 — the tape favors hybrid who can change levels

Eric Nolan is the model side at 61.9% because the largest live edges sit where this fight is likely to be fought. hybrid meets hybrid. Fight IQ is the clearest separator: Hasanov 68 (C+) vs Nolan 51 (C). Problem-solving and win-lane diversity sit with Hasanov (C+ vs C).

  1. 01

    Fight IQ

    Hasanov

    Hasanov 68 (C+) vs Nolan 51 (C). Problem-solving and win-lane diversity sit with Hasanov (C+ vs C).

  2. 02

    Takedown reaction

    Hasanov

    Hasanov 69 (B) vs Nolan 57 (C). When the shot comes, Hasanov stuffs it at 85% — Nolan is at 85%.

  3. 03

    Punching agility

    Hasanov

    Hasanov 39 (D) vs Nolan 31 (D). Hand speed / output lean Hasanov (0.0 SLpM at 0%).

  4. 04

    Counter punching

    Hasanov

    Hasanov 37 (D) vs Nolan 31 (D). Hasanov's return is the live one (0.10 KD/15, 0 KOs) against Nolan's entries.

Path · Hasanov

Hasanov wins by forcing the fight into durability and denying Nolan a long look at durability.

Path · Nolan

Volume. Nolan wins ugly minutes at range, clutter the center, and never give Hasanov a clean reset.

A one-score fight on the model. Any three-minute pocket explosion or a stuck takedown against the grain wipes a lot of this number.

Full read

Style and location. The fight should spend most of its minutes at range. Nolan is built as: Hybrid who can change levels. Hasanov is built as: Hybrid who can change levels. Fight IQ delta is -17 toward Hasanov — that is composure, win-lane diversity, and whether they solve a second problem when the first look dies.

The edges that move the number. Fight IQ: Hasanov 68 (C+) vs Nolan 51 (C). Problem-solving and win-lane diversity sit with Hasanov (C+ vs C). Takedown reaction: Hasanov 69 (B) vs Nolan 57 (C). When the shot comes, Hasanov stuffs it at 85% — Nolan is at 85%. Punching agility: Hasanov 39 (D) vs Nolan 31 (D). Hand speed / output lean Hasanov (0.0 SLpM at 0%).

The clock is live — decision is the modal ending (62%). Minutes and control matter more than a single shot. A one-score fight on the model. Any three-minute pocket explosion or a stuck takedown against the grain wipes a lot of this number. These trait marks are derived from FightMetric rates, career method shares, and loaded bout rows — reaction time and agility are proxies, not stopwatch numbers. The model folds the same scores into win probability, so a hole on this card is a hole in the percentage.

Style & IQ board

Fight IQ, ground game, defense, counter punching, reaction, agility, and takedown reaction — scored from tape and folded into the win number above.

HasanovTraitNolan
68 C+
IQ
51 C
12 D
Ground
16 D
57 C
Defense
61 C+
37 D
Counter
31 D
59 C
Reaction
65 C+
39 D
Agility
31 D
69 B
TD react
57 C
85 A
Chin
85 A

Method of victory

KO / TKO
21%
Submission
17%
Decision
62%

The fight should spend most of its minutes at range.

Duration

R1

15%

R2

10%

R3

12%

Dist

62%

Most likely: Distance. Expected 12 minutes.

Style matchup

hybrid meets hybrid.

  • Striking differential

    -4.60 vs -2.33 SLpM−SApM (recency / opp. adjusted)

    Nolan

  • Striking efficiency

    0% vs 42%

    Nolan

  • Fight IQ

    C+ 68 vs C 51 — composure, win-lane diversity, adjustments

    Hasanov

  • Damage ratio

    0.00 vs 0.42 landed/absorbed

    Nolan

  • Output (SLpM)

    0.00 vs 1.68

    Nolan

  • Takedown reaction

    85% vs 85% hips on the shot

    Hasanov

  • Recency form

    Opp.-adjusted last 0/0 UFC rows

    Hasanov

  • Striking defense

    68% vs 65%

    Hasanov

  • Counter punching

    37 vs 31

    Hasanov

  • Ground game (tape)

    12 vs 16

    Nolan

  • Punching agility

    Output × accuracy × age curve

    Hasanov

  • Timing & reaction

    Defense + absorb + knockdown timing proxy

    Nolan

  • Pocket defense (tape)

    C vs C+

    Nolan

  • Age-adjusted curve

    31 vs 28

    Nolan

  • Cardio proxy

    Output sustainability + distance rate

    Nolan

  • Reach / length

    74.5" vs 74.0"

    Hasanov

  • Grappling composite

    TD avg × acc × def + control + submission threat (adj.)

    Hasanov

  • Takedown mismatch

    TD def 85% vs 85%

    Hasanov

  • Strength of schedule

    Opp. quality 50 vs 50

    Hasanov

  • Style interaction

    hybrid meets hybrid.

    Hasanov

  • Layoff / rust

    Time since last fight

    Hasanov

  • Championship / 5-round

    Three-round fight

    Hasanov

  • Durability

    0 vs 0 KO losses

    Hasanov

Tape

HasanovMetricNolan
0.00SLpM1.68
4.60SApM4.01
0%Str Acc42%
68%Str Def65%
0.00TD Avg0.00
0%TD Acc0%
85%TD Def85%
0.00Sub Avg0.00
0.10KD/150.10
6'3"Reach6'2"
31Age28

Farman Hasanov

No recent UFC tape in the book.

Eric Nolan

No recent UFC tape in the book.

Your pick

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