Ground game
55 CGround work is situational, not a finishing engine. Expect clinch entries more than a mat cycle.
- 3.64 takedowns / 15 at 43% accuracy
- 0.16 submission attempts / 15 · 5 career sub wins
Welterweight
“Chaos”
17-5
SLpM
3.81
SApM
4.92
Str Acc
52%
Str Def
58%
TD Avg
3.64
TD Acc
43%
TD Def
0%
Sub Avg
0.16
Hybrid who can change levels — suspect hips against the shot, porous pocket
Fight IQ
Thin sample — 1 loaded UFC rows, 22 career fights for Colby Covington. Reaction and agility are wider intervals.
IQ
Ground
Defense
Counter
Reaction
proxy
Agility
proxy
TD react
Chin
No standout plus-mark on this card.
Timing & reaction
Late on the read. High absorb or a leaking TD defense suggests the first move often belongs to the opponent.
Takedown reaction
A takedown magnet. Low TD defense plus submission losses — this is the hole a grappler builds a camp around.
Punching agility
Heavy or economical. Combinations are chosen, not sprayed — opponents can time the entries.
Colby Covington “Chaos” is a 38-year-old Orthodox welterweight out of USA, camped at MMA Masters. The tape read: hybrid who can change levels — suspect hips against the shot, porous pocket. Career mark 17-5-0 — 5 by KO/TKO, 5 by submission, 7 by decision. Fight IQ grades C+ (66).
What works. Durability is the standout at 69 (B). Standard UFC durability. Can be hurt, usually recovers if the shot is not clean. Ground game C on 3.64 TD/15 and 0.16 sub attempts. Striking defense D at 58% / 4.92 SApM. Counter punching D; punching agility D (output × accuracy × age curve). Takedown reaction D on 0% TD defense. These are tape proxies — not lab reaction times — built from FightMetric rates, finish shares, and 1 loaded UFC rows.
Where it breaks. Timing & reaction is the soft spot (32, D). Late on the read. High absorb or a leaking TD defense suggests the first move often belongs to the opponent. Opponents who take away their first look and make them solve a second problem have historically been the ones who make this résumé leak. Losses lean decision more often than a highlight — the issue is usually control of minutes, not a glass jaw.
Recent tape (1 bouts): L Usman (Decision - Unanimous R5). Form index negative over the last 1. Most of the loaded finishes happen before the deep water.
Ground work is situational, not a finishing engine. Expect clinch entries more than a mat cycle.
Defensive liability. Opponents land at a clip that turns every exchange into a finish window.
Limited counter threat. Opponents can miss without paying a finishing tax.
Late on the read. High absorb or a leaking TD defense suggests the first move often belongs to the opponent.
Heavy or economical. Combinations are chosen, not sprayed — opponents can time the entries.
A takedown magnet. Low TD defense plus submission losses — this is the hole a grappler builds a camp around.
Standard UFC durability. Can be hurt, usually recovers if the shot is not clean.
| Date | Opponent | Res | Method | Rnd | Sig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2021 | Kamaru Usman | L | Decision - Unanimous | 5 5:00 | 107/281 |